Action so far: River 2♣ on J♠7♠3♥J♦2♣, pot 22bb UTG bets 18bb
Pot: 22bb To call: 18bb
Villain range:UTG three-barrel on paired board: JJ, 77, 33, AJ, KJs, full houses, plus rare AcKc bluff
Your move:
The math
GTO answer: Fold
QQ as an overpair on a paired board facing a third barrel. Villain's range is heavy on Jx, sets, and full houses (now boats with J on river). Bluffs are rare at this size on a paired board. Pot odds 40 to 18 (31 percent) and we beat only the rare bluff. Fold.
Tags: river MW QQ fold paired
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