Action so far: River K♦ on J♥T♥4♣A♥K♦, pot 20bb UTG bets 15bb
Pot: 20bb To call: 15bb
Villain range:UTG three-barrel after A turn K river: AA, KK, AK, QJ (rivered straight), missed flush
Your move:
The math
GTO answer: Raise to 45bb
Hero flopped two pair on JTx, the turn brought the ace for top pair plus two pair, and the river K completes a royal flush in hearts: A-K-Q-J-T of hearts. This is the nuts. Against a single river bet, raising is the highest EV play because villain's range still contains plenty of overpairs, ace-king type hands, and missed AhXh bluffs that will call a raise. Calling gets less value. Raise.
Tags: river MW two pair call
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